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MLB Heavyweight Champion

If MLB champs were decided like boxing: beat the champ, and you're the champ.

The 2008 season started with the Red Sox as champs. They were beaten by the A's, who were beaten back by Boston, who were then swept by Toronto, who lost to Oakland, who lost to Cleveland, and so on, until we reached our current champion.

The Heavyweight of the Year is the team that wins the most title bouts at the end of the season.

Current Champion (as of 8/12):
Milwaukee Brewers

2008 Title Bout Records:

Mets2317
Athletics1313
Red Sox117
Cubs91
Padres86
Rockies714
Angels64
Indians611
Brewers50
Cardinals55
Reds55
Dodgers57
Marlins43
Rangers46
Blue Jays33
Nationals35
Mariners21
Yankees23
Phillies25
Tigers12
Giants03
Orioles03

2007 Heavyweight of the Year:
Seattle Mariners

2006 Heavyweight of the Year:
Oakland Athletics

2005 Heavyweight of the Year:
Oakland Athletics

more info...

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Nine Carl Everetts, Five Bronson Arroyos
2007-05-04 13:41
by Ryan Armbrust

It was famously stated in Moneyball that a team of nine Scott Hattebergs would score more runs than the Yankees. That got me thinking... What player, multiplied by nine, would be equivalent to the A's current offense?

Right now, Oakland is sporting a truly ugly .234/.309/.355/.654 line of avg/obp/slg/ops, roughly the same as the season that Carl Everett put up in Seattle (.227/.297/.360/.657) last year -- before being cut for offensive ineptitude.

No wonder it's been so painful to watch the A's hit this season. We're watching a circa-2006 Carl Everett go out there and hack.

As bad as the hitting has been, though, the pitching has been superb. The A's current stat line of a 3.26 ERA in 243.0 innings with 184 strikeouts and 80 walks is strikingly similar to the excellent season posted by Bronson Arroyo last year in Cincinnati. Arroyo had a 3.29 ERA in 240.1 innings with 184 strikeouts and 64 walks.

So, then, the A's have been a team composed of a National League-level elite pitching and terrible American League DH flailing at the plate. No wonder they have a record of 13-14. Nine Carl Everetts in the lineup and five Bronson Arroyos in the rotation seem to add up to a near-.500 record -- not to mention one very strange clubhouse.

Looking at the big picture, with a current runs scored to runs allowed ratio of 104:99, the A's would be expected to be one game over .500 at this point. With 27 games played, at the current rate, this team should score just 624 runs, but only allow a measley 594. That would be the first time since 1990 that Oakland has allowed less than 600 runs. It would also be the fewest runs scored by the A's since 1979. What do 624 runs scored and 594 runs allowed project for an expected record? 85-77.

I've got to believe that the hitting will improve (and get healthier) much more than the pitching will falter over the course of the rest of the season, though, so 85 wins is probably a little low.

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Comments
2007-05-04 14:46:05
1.   Ken Arneson
That would be one interesting clubhouse.
2007-05-04 14:53:03
2.   Ken Arneson
The run prevention might actually improve with better health, too. Right now, according to THT's stats, the A's are +17 on their infield defense, but -6 in the outfield. Gotta think that outfield run prevention could improve considerably with a real centerfielder.

But of course, then Crosby will get hurt, and the infield defense will go down the tubes.

2007-05-04 15:49:43
3.   Faramond
That projected record, 85-77, makes me shudder, because that's the record the 2003 Dodgers had, who squandered one of the great season pitching performances by a staff ever with their awful offense. Looks like the A's may be headed down that same road, though I think they'll win more than that. Beane's also a better GM than Dan Evans was in 2003.
2007-05-04 15:49:44
4.   Bob Timmermann
I thought this was going to be a "12 Days of Christmas" type thing and I was ready to belt out "FIVE BRONSON ARROYOS!!!"
2007-05-04 16:09:03
5.   Ken Arneson
4 "And a Harden on the DL!"
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