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With the apparent news that Shannon Stewart has been inked to a deal with Oakland to be in the running for the 4th, 5th, 6th an outfield job, I decided to see what the ol' crystal ball had to say.
Using a weighted average based on the accuracy of the systems in years past, I came up with what I've called the Grand Unified Projection for Shannon Stewart.
S. Stewart | AB | 2B | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OBP | SLG |
Bill James | 339 | 20 | 7 | 29 | 43 | .292 | .357 | .419 |
CHONE | 377 | 19 | 8 | 34 | 48 | .282 | .346 | .405 |
MARCEL | 321 | 15 | 7 | 27 | 44 | .283 | .342 | .408 |
PECOTA | 304 | 14 | 5 | 25 | 39 | .273 | .332 | .383 |
ZiPS | 342 | 17 | 7 | 31 | 49 | .275 | .341 | .392 |
----- | ----- | ----- | ----- | ----- | ----- | ----- | ----- | ----- |
Weighted Avg. | 336 | 17 | 7 | 29 | 45 | .281 | .344 | .402 |
While that's not the kind of power that you'd like to see from a corner outfielder, there's nothing wrong with a .281/.344/.402 line.
That's assuming Stewart stays healthy, of course. Considering that he's spent his entire career on carpet in the Sky Dome Rogers Centre and Metrodome, and that his major problem has been with his legs and feet... I've got to think that he'll hold up better on real grass on Oakland.
If he can earn the playing time amongst the other dozen outfielders on the roster, that is. With the likes of Bobby Kielty, Ricky Ledee, Ryan Goleski, Hiram Bocachica, Charles Thomas, Javier Herrerra, Travis Buck and whoever else Billy Beane signs in the next two weeks, Stewart will have plenty of company in the outfield this March.
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