Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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The A's just got mini-swept by the Mariners. Now the Tampa Bay Devil Rays come to town. I thought I'd just cut and paste a few things. Please to enjoy.
Sure, the A's might improve on their current .217 average with RISP and 2 outs. I keep waiting for our luck to even out. But I've been waiting over two years now, and the A's keep regressing to Detroit instead of to the mean.
So far this year, it looks like the same old stuff as the last two years. How much longer should I hold onto my faith in regression to the mean before I give up and declare this a flaw in the design? [1]
...and...
It's a pretty sad state of affairs when you're watching your team play against the Tampa Bay Devil Rays and you suddenly realize that the Rays might have the better team. That probably wouldn't be the case if the A's were healthy. But here we are.
Let's look at some rankings:
Offense, OPS: A's 14th, Rays 7th.
...The A's pitch better, the Rays hit better. Not much news there. [2]
...and then...
The good news is that the A's finished April just a half game out of first place in the AL West. In fact, it's more than just good news, it's miraculous news. With the exception of Nick Swisher and Eric Chavez, it has seemed like a Murphy's Law kind of month for the A's.
So far, the A's have suffered injuries to Rich Harden, Esteban Loaiza, Huston Street, Justin Duchscherer, Jay Witasick, Bobby Crosby and Milton Bradley. And beyond that, all but a handful of players have been performing below (and in many cases, far below) expectations.
...
If the A's at least avoid any long losing streaks until Harden comes back, I will be happy. Just hang around in the race, until the pieces are in place, and things start to click. The A's don't need miracles to win the division. They just need good health, and performances that at least somewhat resemble expectations. [3]
Bibliography:
[1] Ken Arneson, April 21, 2004
[2] Ken Arneson, May 24, 2005
[3] Ken Arneson, April 30, 2006
rinse, repeat.
http://oakland.athletics.mlb.com/news/press_releases/press_release.jsp?ymd=20070427&content_id=1933422&vkey=pr_oak&fext=.jsp&c_id=oak
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