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Kendall Would Love to be Playing in Houston
2007-06-13 22:31
by Ryan Armbrust

Yes, the unthinkable happened. Jason Kendall not only went 3-for-4 to raise his batting average above the Mendoza line to .210, but he homered. Yes, the man with the .214 slugging mark -- 75 points lower than any other player with at least 3.1 plate appearances per game -- managed to squeak one over the fence.

Entering the game, it had been 618 at-bats since Kendall's last homer -- a line drive that cleared the left-field fence in Oakland by about one of Ray Fosse's moustache hairs.

If there was ever a ballpark -- other than a little league field -- made to help Kendall's home run numbers, it's Enron Minute Maid in Houston. The Crawford boxes sit just 315 feet from home plate, if you believe the official numbers.

To illustrate just how ridiculously close that is, I've overlaid a map of Minute Miad Park over Jason Kendall's home ballpark hit chart from this season. If Kendall played in Houston, three of his fly-ball outs would have gone for home runs instead.

 

If you look at last year's data, you can add perhaps another four home runs to his total.

 

 

 

And looking back to 2005? Another home run would sneak over the wall, adding to Kendall's total.

 

 

 

So, a reasonable conclusion here is that due to nothing other than the extrememly short porch in left field, Jason Kendall could have hit eight more home runs if he played his home games in Houston instead of Oakland. I'm sure there are quite a few A's fans that wouldn't be too upset if that had in fact been the reality.

It all makes me wonder... how many fewer homers would Lance Berkman, Craig Biggio, Jeff Bagwell and Morgan Ensberg have hit if they'd played in what I'd refer to as a "normal-sized ballpark"? After taking a peek at their hit charts... quite a few, indeed. For example, Craig Biggio has hit exactly one home run that wasn't somewhere in the Crawford Boxes in all of the years he's played in Minute Maid. Morgan Ensberg and Lance Berkman live off the short fence, which was built to help out Jeff Bagwell's stroke. Should we discount power numbers in Houston just as we discount averages put up in Denver?

I'm going to guess, by paraphrasing Satchel Paige, perhaps Jason Kendall looked back, and saw Kurt Suzuki gaining on him. He's gone 5-for-9 since Kurt joined the team after the tenth... In any case, Jason Kendall did a mighty fine job as the unlikely spark of Oakland's offense, helping the A's to pull within one game of the Mariners, and stay just five back of the Angels.

Comments
2007-06-13 23:25:31
1.   jmoney
That ballpark helps every hitter, but I always thought it was especially beneficial for Berkman. All he has to do his flick his wrists at a ball on the outer half, and he can send it over, or at least off the wall. He hit a grand slam in the playoffs a couple of years ago (I haven't looked at baseball reference, but I think it was in the game that went 18 innings against the Braves) that would have been an out in every other major league stadium, with the possible exception of Fenway.

The guy's a good player, but his numbers wouldn't be so absurd if he played in a real stadium.

2007-06-13 23:44:40
2.   Eric Enders
Houston's definitely a bandbox, but overlaying the park diagrams is a 100% useless exercise. The LF wall in Houston is 21 feet high, as opposed to 8 feet in Oakland.
2007-06-14 03:38:24
3.   joejoejoe
Nice overlays. They really make your point.
2007-06-14 06:32:49
4.   Jason Wojciechowski
"100% useless" is a bit overstated. Maybe not all eight of Kendall's outs would have gone over the wall, but the point (that even Jason Kendall would hit homers if he played in the Juicebox) likely remains valid.
2007-06-14 10:42:02
5.   Ryan Armbrust
The 21 feet vs 8 feet argument is valid, but not so much as you might imagine. Fly balls that would have landed beyond the horizontal distance of the wall in Houston very likely would have cleared the wall due to the trajectory of the ball. A baseball doesn't come down at the same angle it was hit. It's much closer to vertical than you're thinking. A 21 foot wall (as opposed to an 8 foot wall) would only come into play in limiting home runs on balls hit very close to the wall -- within only a few feet.

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