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Half of a season, half of an offense
2007-06-29 11:42
by Ryan Armbrust

The A's begin a three-game series in New York today against a Yankee team that's struggled every bit as much as the A's have this year. New York is in third place in their division, three games under .500, while Oakland is also in third place, but two games over .500. Both the A's and Yankees have gone 3-7 over their last ten games.

At the conclusion of the series, the A's will have played 81 games -- the halfway point of the season. Behind the Mariners by 3.5 games, the A's will still be in third place no matter the outcome, but could make up some ground against a struggling pitching staff in the Bronx.

Even though it's unsettling to be hovering right around .500 at the midpoint of the year, this is familiar ground. Here are the A's records after 81 games in each of the past five seasons:

  • 2006: 42-39, 1st place, 1.0 game up on Seattle, won AL West
  • 2005: 40-41, 3rd place, 10.0 games back of Los Angeles, missed playoffs
  • 2004: 46-35, 1st place, tied with Texas, missed playoffs
  • 2003: 46-35, 2nd place, 7.0 games back of Seattle, won AL West
  • 2002: 46-35, 3rd place, 5.0 games back of Seattle, won AL West

While the A's were a healthy 11 games over .500 three of those years, the last two have shown that as long as they're close to .500, a stretch run can save the season. With Justin Duchscherer and Huston Street due back soon, the bullpen's recent woes should be addressed (and Ruddy Lugo and Colby Lewis can be relieved of their duties).

The offense however, is still an issue, as Philip pointed out. While not terrible (see Sox, White), this isn't a playoff caliber offense at the moment. The A's started off the season completely lacking the ability to score runs, but have since begun to come around. Since the end of April, the A's have actually had a slightly above-average American League offense -- but not by much.

Oak games runs avg obp slg ops hr
April 25 95 .230 .309 .349 .658 18
May 27 134 .274 .361 .432 .793 33
June 26 112 .265 .335 .426 .761 30
AL games runs avg obp slg ops hr
April 24 114 .255 .327 .404 .731 24
May 28 138 .272 .341 .428 .769 30
June 25 128 .277 .343 .424 .767 24

If more and more of Jason Kendall's plate appearances are taken away by Kurt Suzuki and Mike Piazza, I'd expect to see a boost in offense. Right now, the A's have a National League lineup with the equivalent of a pitcher hitting in the ninth hole.

The other offensive concern is shortstop. The combination of Bobby Crosby and Marco Scutaro has given the A's a .225/.277/.336/.612 line. That .612 OPS from SS is 27th in all of baseball -- only the Blue Jays, Red Sox and Cubs have received less production from that position. Crosby did have a good month of May (.291/.342/.437/.779), but so far in June, he's been one of the worst hitters on the team, slumping badly (.189/.252/.274/.526).

So what's the solution? My guess is that is would have to involve Kendall losing his playing time to actual hitters, Crosby remembering how to lay off the pitches down and away, someone discovering a cure for RISP disease, and Larry Davis actually keeping players healthy. I'm not even going to mention that Eric Chavez is underperforming expectations, because any more, that's the norm.

Hey, at least it's not all doom and gloom, though. Dan Haren still has a sub-2.00 ERA...

Comments
2007-06-30 14:32:52
1.   fanerman
Congratulations!

Jason Kendall hit a home run! Somebody get the champagne.

2007-06-30 15:26:25
2.   Ryan Armbrust
1 I'm as surprised as I was the last time he hit one. It just slipped over the 318 sign down the left field line at Yankee Stadium. I'm guessing it was about a 319 1/2 foot blast...

Now, Dan Johnson's shot into the right field upper deck -- he got a lot of that one.

2007-07-01 12:50:21
3.   Ryan Armbrust
I'd like to apologize to Dan Haren for bringing up his 1.91 ERA... It's my fault he allowed 5 earned runs against the Yankees today. I should really know better by now than to highlight a player performing well.

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