Baseball Toaster Catfish Stew
STOP CASTING POROSITY! An Oakland Athletics blog.
Frozen Toast
Google Search
Catfish Stew

02  01 

12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  01 

12  09  08  01 

12  11  10  09  08 
Email Us

Ken: catfish AT zombia d.o.t. com
Ryan: rarmbrust AT gmail d.o.t. com
Philip: kingchimp AT alamedanet d.o.t net

Ken's Greatest Hits
28 Aug 2003
12 Jan 2004
31 May 2005
11 May 2005
29 Jun 2005
8 Jun 2005
19 Jul 2005
11 Aug 2005
7 Sep 2005
20 Sep 2005
22 Sep 2005
26 Sep 2005
28 Sep 2005
29 Sep 2005
18 Oct 2005
9 Nov 2005
15 Nov 2005
20 Nov 2005

13 Dec 2005
19 Jan 2006
28 Jan 2006
21 Feb 2006
10 Apr 2006
16 Apr 2006
22 Apr 2006
7 May 2006
25 May 2006
31 May 2006
18 Jun 2006
22 Jun 2006
6 Jul 2006
17 Jul 2006
13 Aug 2006
15 Aug 2006
16 Aug 2006
20 Aug 2006
11 Oct 2006
31 Oct 2006
29 Dec 2006
4 Jan 2006
12 Jan 2006
27 Jan 2007
17 Feb 2007
30 Apr 2007
27 Aug 2007
5 Sep 2007
19 Oct 2007
23 Nov 2007
5 Jan 2008
16 Jan 2008
4 Feb 2008
7 May 2008
20 Jun 2008
4 Feb 2008
2007 Photo Outtakes: He's No Angel
2007-11-15 23:58
by Ken Arneson

With Barry Bonds bearing on a bout behind bars, and Alex Rodriguez resurrecting his Bronx-based business cards, the Anaheim Angeles are once again going to struggle to supplement their Guerrero-only offense.

With those two players now likely to remain out of the AL West next year, there are basically no acquisitions the Angels could make that would make me feel like they were locks to win the division next year. The rumor mill has Miguel Cabrera and Dan Uggla possibly heading to Anaheim in exchange for Howie Kendrick and Nick Adenhart, but that idea does not scare me. Cabrera and Uggla would give the Angels some sorely missing power, but they would also turn a good infield defense into a bad one.

All of which is to say, the price of Dan Haren and Joe Blanton just went up a little higher. There's more incentive now to stay the course, to see if the A's can stay healthy for once, and if they can, to find out if what they have is good enough to beat the Angels.  Unless we hear some bad news about the rehabs of Eric Chavez or Travis Buck or Justin Duchscherer, I think Billy Beane is now more likely to tinker with the team than to blow it up.

2007-11-16 09:35:06
1.   jmoney
I actually had the opposite reaction to the Bonds indictment: the way I see it, the only way the A's were going to have a competent offense next season is if they sign Bonds to DH. Now there's pretty much zero chance that will happen.

I don't pretend to know what Beane will do, but if I were him, this would make me more likely to blow it up and start over.

2007-11-16 10:14:30
2.   Ken Arneson
Interesting, jmoney. Bonds would certainly improve any offense, but with the A's, it sets in motion a series of defensive changes that I think would be disastrous. It means you have to play Cust in the field, where he's brutal, and also move Swisher to center, where instead of being an above-average fielder, he's now well below. That defensive alignment, in my opinion, is a primary cause of the A's collapse in the second half.

I'm not as worried as most people are about the A's offense. They scored the third-most road runs in the AL. I really like the Buck/Swisher/Barton combo at the top of the lineup; that's a lot of runners on base. I just think they need to construct their lineup so that it doesn't have any gaping Kendall/Kotsay-like holes killing rallies, and where they can play their defenders in an alignment where they're very good instead of very bad.

If you're going to go for it, I'd say the best solution would be to get a good, right-handed hitting centerfielder: Andruw Jones, Torii Hunter, or Mike Cameron. Jones and Hunter are probably too expensive, but Cameron, with the suspension, might come more cheaply. That would fill the offensive hole in CF, give a little right-handed punch to a strongly left-handed lineup, and put Swisher and Buck in the corners where they're good.

2007-11-16 11:53:01
3.   jmoney
I see your point, Ken. I had kind of assumed that the offensive benefits of getting Bonds into the lineup with Cust, Swisher, and Buck would offset the obvious defensive deficiencies of that outfield. I wonder if there's anyone out there who's less lazy than I am who could come up with a statistical argument for or against the idea. Probably not, since it's now a moot point anyway.

I read your earlier post about the A's not being as offensively challenged as we the fans would like to believe, but I just can't believe in that road-runs statistic. I've watched the A's offense be inept for too many years now. Maybe I'm being stubborn here, but given the choice between a w/Bonds alignment and a w/Mark Kotsay alignment, I'll take the Bonds one, please. And I don't think Cameron is the answer.

BTW, taking a break from what we think Beane WILL do, what do you think he SHOULD do? Tear it down or let it ride?

2007-11-16 11:55:32
4.   Philip Michaels
Then again, if ever there was a market inefficiency to exploit it's the market for players who are under federal indictment.
2007-11-16 14:27:08
5.   Ken Arneson
3 I waffle on what I think he should do.

Emotionally, no doubt, I want him to rip it apart and gather a boatload of young prospects. I want to see some superstars in green and gold. I'd like to look to the future and think, wow, we're going to be great for five or six years, instead of thinking, well, maybe we have a 50-50 chance of making the playoffs next year if all goes well.

Analytically, I'm like you, jmoney, too lazy (or too time-crunched) to do the math and figure out what I think is the right thing to do. The good thing about having a GM you can trust is you can outsource that analysis and decision making to him, and not worry too much about it. Unlike say, Dodger fans, who have to worry if their GM has even seen an estimate of the math, let alone run through the whole calculation.

2007-11-16 14:35:11
6.   Ken Arneson
Oh, and if it's a choice between w/Bonds and w/Kotsay, I'd take Bonds, too. Kotsay's defense ain't that good anymore, anyway, and his bat is worse. I could be wrong, but I think he's probably done. I don't think the A's win anything next year if Kotsay is the centerfielder.

Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.