Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Ken: catfish AT zombia d.o.t. com
Ryan: rarmbrust AT gmail d.o.t. com
Philip: kingchimp AT alamedanet d.o.t net
Sapphire bullets...bullets of pure A's:
I feel somewhat disconnected from the team right now. Who are these guys?
I did go back on MLB.tv and watch the interesting innings from Monday's game against Toronto, where they came back from an 8-0 deficit to win 12-10. That game left me with the feeling that perhaps the best way to characterize the 2006 A's is that they're a gang of thieves.
The A's had no business winning that game, but somehow they managed to sneak their way in the back door and burglarize a W out of it. This year, it seems like there are a lot more games that the A's have won that they shoulda-coulda lost than the other way around.
The stats back me up on that one: they're currently 18 games over .500 at 73-55, but their record in BP's adjusted standings indicates they really should have a record of about 65-63 or 64-64.
Which explains why, I suppose, that even though the A's have the second-largest division lead in baseball, their 5.5 game lead over the Angels feels so insecure. Thievin' may be a thrillin' way to live, but in the back of your mind there's always the fear that sooner or later, your thievin' ways are going to be exposed, and you'll be revealed for the fraud you really are.
That luck may soon run out, though. If the Angels are going to make a run at Oakland, next week might be the time. They'll play three games against the hapless-and-losing-more-hap-by-the-hour Mariners, while the A's are staring down both Josh Beckett and Curt Schilling. Also, Tim Wakefield may be ready come off the DL to face the A's, as well. So much of streakiness is in the scheduling.
With their victory over Tampa Bay on Thursday, the Rangers had pulled ahead of the A's in the standings. But Barry Zito's near no-hitter against Texas on Friday not only gave him his 100th career victory, it also put the A's back into first place.
Sunday's game (Dan Haren vs. Vicente Padilla) may be the Fight of the Year. The winner will have a big step up in the battle for Heavyweight Team of the Year.
I think this one might be the first recorded meeting between Billy Beane and Ken Macha.
Unfortunately, he has not yet put the two together in the same game, so my Swisher fast continues.
That is unfathomable. How can a guy who catches everything be below average? I mean, Eric Chavez fields everything there is to field. E.V.E.R.Y. T.H.I.N.G.
Maybe he had a bad three weeks while I was in Europe, and I missed it. I don't know.
Otherwise, if he's below average, that means that there are seven third basemen in the AL who are fielding more than everything. Hank Blalock? Troy Glaus? Alex Rodriguez? No way, dudes.
Time now for everyone to go over to TangoTiger's place, and tell people who's really boss.
"That is unfathomable. How can a guy who catches everything be below average? "
and i answer:
see jeter, derek a few years ago. limited range, slow first step. but hit a ball straight at him, and it was an automatic out.
i'm not defending the ratings, or claiming chavez is below avg this year - i don't know the answer. but if you have someone who saves lots of balls by having great range but occasionally screws up (errors), or someone else who has no range at all, but is automatic on those hit right to him - well, the first guy is much more valuable defensively.
Dial also put Lance Niekro at the top of NL 1B - hard to accept.
As for outperforming the Pythag., Kurkjian had an article on ESPN today which reported Beane telling the Indians' GM that both their teams were confounding sabermetricians (Indians are Plus-50 in Net Runs Scored, but 10 below 0.500, or so).
MGL's system had Nick Swisher as one of the greatest right fielders who ever lived last year. These things defy common sense: Chavez is clearly one of the best 3Bs in baseball, and Swisher, while not horrible, is certainly not a defensive wiz in the outfield.
The great thing stats like OPS or ERA is that they match our common sense so well about what a quality player is. When we find a fielding stat that matches our common sense like that, then we'll be happy.
And that's why TangoTiger's work is so important in the struggle to find such a stat--it's a way to measure our common sense against these other numbers, to try to find a way to make them match.
but my answer was mainly towards your more-general question, which is what many fans of jeter said...
So maybe his injury affected his fielding during those weeks, but on the other hand, he had a 60+ game errorless streak that went straight through June and July. From what I've seen, the injury really only affects his swing, not his fielding.
i've seen Chavez only a hand full of times but you can just tell when somebody is a good defender & the times i've seen him, he gets my thumbs up.
And I agree with Ken's sentiment.
Anyone else have Dewan's Fielding Bible?
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.